More in Common published this Westminster MRP on 19 July 2026.
UKDecides reproduces the national vote shares and modelled seat totals published by More in Common.
WESTMINSTER MRP
More in Common — 5–28 June 2026
More in Common’s July 2026 Westminster MRP, based on 14,358 respondents.
What it means
Hung parliament. Reform UK largest party, 33 seats short of an overall majority.
SEAT ESTIMATE
Modelled seats
All MRP charts use the same 0–650 seat scale. The vertical marker shows the 326-seat threshold for an overall majority.
MODEL RESULTS
Published result
Vote share and seat totals are reproduced from the original MRP publication where supplied.
| Party | Vote share | Seats |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 21% | 96 |
| Labour | 21% | 110 |
| Liberal Democrat | 12% | 66 |
| Reform UK | 27% | 293 |
| Green | 10% | 10 |
| SNP | 3% | 37 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1% | 9 |
| Other | 4% | 10 |
MRP estimates are modelled estimates, not constituency polls or a UKDecides forecast.
Source: Original MRP publication