UKDecides

MRP MODELS

Westminster MRP

Published multilevel regression and post-stratification studies of Westminster voting intention. MRP models use large national samples to estimate how voting patterns vary across constituencies.

LATEST MODELS

Published MRP studies

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MRP

YouGov — 23 August–18 September 2026

YouGov’s September 2026 Westminster MRP, based on fieldwork with nearly 17,000 Britons.

Fieldwork
23 August–18 September 2026
Sample
Nearly 17,000
Commissioner
YouGov

MRP

Survation — 22–27 July 2026

Survation Westminster MRP for HOPE not hate, based on 10,014 GB adults.

Fieldwork
22–27 July 2026
Sample
10,014
Commissioner
HOPE not hate

MRP

More in Common — 5–28 June 2026

More in Common’s July 2026 Westminster MRP, based on 14,358 respondents.

Fieldwork
5–28 June 2026
Sample
14,358
Commissioner
More in Common

MRP

More in Common — 1–30 March 2026

More in Common’s April 2026 Westminster MRP, based on 15,482 respondents.

Fieldwork
1–30 March 2026
Sample
15,482
Commissioner
More in Common